Here are my quick thoughts on California’s Prop 1, since a lot of you are asking. I just read over the description on the primary ballot. I am not a professional legislative analyst, by any means. But I get why you all are here reading this.
-It may end up being a very good thing for residents who suffer from severe mental health challenges. If the state’s estimates are correct, and this bill will provide 6,500 of 10,000 needed mental health beds in the state, then that is a big win.
-The effect that this bill will have on homelessness will be negligible. If the stars align, it will lead to a 2% reduction in homelessness over the next 10 years – with a 20% reduction of veteran homelessness in that time as well. This rosy projection is reliant on buildings getting built and/or acquired somewhere in the state to house people. We all know how challenging that can be.
-It takes some mental health money from the counties and gives it to the state, for some reason. This is perplexing, and pushes me from “it’s flawed but probably still good” to “it may not be worth voting for such a flawed piece of legislation” – knowing that there is not a heck of a lot stopping the state from putting something better on the ballot next election if this one fails. The reality is that money to be spent on mental health services will get taken from each county right away, and then some years later a mental health facility may or may not show up in that county from the money that comes from this bill.
-It’s really malpractice that this bill would be marketed as addressing the homeless issue. The percentage of our homeless population that faces severe mental health challenges is very low (not that we have good numbers), certainly no more than 5%, maybe as low as 1 or 2%. The idea that most of our homeless population is suffering from severe mental health challenges and/or life altering addiction is a long-dead myth at this point. The actual portion of the bill that addresses homelessness is a drop in the bucket. I’m not sure how I’ll vote, since I’m not opposed to voting for flawed legislation that will still do some good, but the stench of the political machinations behind this bill are a turn off for me.
